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Mercedes by Dave Mortimer (MIE)

In the absence of SJ Skid to make this prediction, this really could be Mercedes year. Rumours through the latter half of 2013 suggested that the Mercedes Power Unit was the best developed of the three available, and if the interweb is to be believed then the Mercedes powered teams will have a significant advantage at the beginning of this regulation period. Add to that the Mercedes recruitment of all available talent over the past 12 months, and even the loss of Ross Brawn may not be able to put a dent in the silver machine. Don’t forget that the last time the rules significantly changed it was this team who not only found but exploited the double diffuser loophole to the best advantage.

In Hamilton and Rosberg they have arguably the best driver line up in the field, and as the only team without a driver change (subject to Marussia and Caterham finally confirming their drivers), they have continuity on their side. The drivers get along, so the team should not have inter-team issues to deal with (just the personal demons that seem to have affected Lewis Hamilton in 2013). Hamilton is a known quantity, and if he can remain positive he is capable of extracting performances beyond the cars’ capability. 2013 showed that Rosberg really is that good, he held his own against Hamilton (winning two GP’s to Hamilton’s one) even if he was beaten in the overall points total.

As one of only two teams responsible for not only the chassis but also the power unit, they (along with Ferrari) should have a head start on the complex issue of packaging the power unit within the car. The new 1.6 litre V6 turbo is a very different beast from the familiar 2.4 litre V8, and will require adequate cooling to the turbo and the energy store if optimum performance is to be found.
The team had the second biggest budget in 2013, and as a result finished second in the constructors’ championship. This team is not short of cash, and with the change in regulations removing one area where Red Bull and Sebastian Vettel excelled (using the exhaust blown diffuser), this is the best chance Mercedes have had to win the championship since their return to the sport. The eveness of the driving talent may mean the driver’s title goes elsewhere, but I can see the constructors’ championship heading to Brackley.

Sahara Force India by Paul Charsley (The International)

Well I must say I am pretty excited about this team for 2014, and that’s saying something as except for a couple of times “Mighty” Force India as been anemic to me. The main turn of fortunes I see is tied closely to that of McLaren. Force India have had a technical partnership with the Woking team for quite some time now and with the turmoil that the 2014 regulations bring, this will work both ways in terms of development.

No doubt that 2014 is an all hands on deck year and if I were Force India I’d be turning up to every McLaren office party. 2013 started so well for them and showed they have some very good heads in the team, the decision to cut development for the car so early may not have been their decision alone (McLaren were behind them in the standings at that point, pushed or jumped you ask?) but this should be a boon for their 2014 aspirations, they should be showing McLaren what a great asset they are to the big picture and with that be 1st in line for the 2nd Honda team in 2015.

The driver line up for this year is also much more dynamic I think both drivers are talented enough to get the best out of the car. Maybe Nico Hulkenberg didn’t get the plum ride this year but he would be an ideal driver for McLaren and with Jenson perhaps not around for too much longer he could be the lady in waiting for the future of McLaren-Honda, lets hope so anyway as he deserves a shot at a championship team. Sergio didn’t have the most stellar of seasons but a lot can be laid on the 2013 McLaren, I think he did as good as expected and I have no doubt he can get back to show the 2012 season at Sauber was no fluke. All in all a tough call to see who gets it right or wrong but I think Force India have played there cards very well to give them a tremendous opportunity to be the dark horse of the new turbo era. I’m picking them for 5th in the championship with a shot at 4th.

Hulkenberg FI c600

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An F1 fan since 1972, NC has spent over 25 years in the technology industry and as a CTO, he focuses on technology integration in commercial workspace design, AV systems integration, digital media strategies, technology planning, consulting, speaking, presenting, sales, content strategy, marketing and brand building.
  • F1fletch

    Great read guys. Was just wondering when there would be some fresh reading besides hospitals and jails that have been affecting ex-F1 pilots. Time to get thinking about testing less than 3 weeks away and start enjoying the chew on Cars and Drivers and how they will fare in 14. I think both your takes are correct and I expect Merc to have a bit of a leg up on RB this year, simply because Newey’s sand box is empty of his some of his old favorite toys this year.

    I for one have been so excited for the new regs as I beleieve a great slate cleaning was due and the V8’s for all their great sounds and performance had become a bit boring and reliable. It will be great to read how you guys see the rest of the teams lining up.

    Ferrari is my biggest question mark of the year as I simply don’t know what to expect and they have lost their workhorse (Massa). I don’t believe their driver pairing is optimal for the health of the team. I am happy to be wrong, whih happens lots in F1 and life and makes the show more unpredictable right?

    Williams is my underdog/dark horse of next year.

    Keep up the great work guys!

    Fletch

  • tom

    Reasonable predictions. Although the more I learn about this new engine formula, the less I think that there will be big differences between the teams. Although Mercedes, Ferrari and Red Bull (as Renault premier partner) have a big advantage in that they basically have engine and car production under one roof.

    I do remember though that there were rumors last year about Mercedes working on a revolutionary cooling technology. If that turns out to be ready for 2014, they might have a massive advantage as cooling will be a major factor this year.

  • Brody

    I hope you are correct Negative Camber, that you can see the consructors championship going to Brackley, but I would like to see the drivers title also headed in that direction. I really didn’t see any personal demons that Lewis had suffered in 2013, and if he did have any, they didn’t seem to have a negative effect on his performance. Hamilton said to the audience on Top Gear, don’t expect any pole positions this season, but still managed to produce five, and also stood a good chance of winning his home race at Silverstone, if a tire hadn’t exploded.